Scotland mortality 2022 week 34

Summary of Scotland’s mortality and excess mortality. All data mortality and population data via National Records of Scotland

Overall

The Week 34 data were released;

• Prior week 33 was revised up to +18% (183 more deaths than normal).

• Week 34 is initially +7% (74 more deaths than normal).

Since this recent uptrend started Scotland has experienced 2,794 excess deaths. Scotland is a small nation - in U.S. numbers that would be around 171,000 extra deaths - it is a very significant excess

Total excess in 2022 is 2,423, which is basically identical to 2021 - no improvement whatsoever.

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Summary of Summer

Summer is always (WAS always!) low and stable excess mortality, rarely varying from the 5 year average. Until 2021. Since then we have huge deviation - excess in 2021 the highest we have ever seen, but now exceeded by 2022.

Even Covid deaths, summer 2021 was by far higher than 2020, and 2022 is higher again. By the official narrative this is not possible - hence it is not spoken about.

Below you can see the past history of summer - very stable, rarely seeing significant excess - but 2021 and 2022 clearly outliers.

The chart below shows the weekly excess for each of more than 40 years. Autumn 2021 clearly stands out, and also this Spring/Summer as the highest we’ve ever seen. (Hark at 1989 - where we saw no panic whatsoever (although in fairness we know 2020 wasn’t panic, it all happened exactly as pre-planned)).

The table below shows the ranking of the worst excess mortality months Scotland has experienced. Note that these June and July 2022 are the WORST Scotland has ever had. August is not yet complete, and is already second worst (beaten only by August 2021). We’ve also had the 4th worst March, 3rd worst April, and 4th worst May. These are awful ‘records’ to be setting.

And the Z-Score (measure of abnormality) continues to show that our excess remains extremely unusual. This is MORE abnormal than winter 2020 - media silence.

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Excess mortality by Location, by cause, by age

Enough of overview, the below is the detail of the above items.

By cause of death, this most recent week was lower excess, but ‘Other’ was the highest cause of death, followed by Heart attack / Stroke

By location of death - people are tragically dying at home. Still. Two years later.

Finally excess by age - this shows percentage excess.

The oldest age group remains at +20% (although this is +25% for men, +15% for women). We see the same in 75-84, although this has maybe peaked and coming down. However we see 65 to 74 (the next age group) now spiking up (in delay from the two elder groups.

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So the excess continues. We’ve now had an experiment and a confirmation - firstly with the initial doses, where we saw (1) an initial ripple of excess at the time, then (2) around 3-4 months later sustained excess, starting in the age order of those first ‘protected’. We then saw this again with Dose 3 - excess should have started at the end of February, which is exactly what we saw, confirming the initial observation.

The next round is about to start, which could bring an initial ripple of excess, and then sustained excess starting during December.

Let’s hope not.

Best wishes!

Scottish Unity, Edinburgh Group